Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR1
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia edged past Vasco da Gama 1-0 away from home in the Brazil - Serie A on 12 Feb 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 62% of the ball to Bahia's 38%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.71 to 0.37.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Bahia?
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 50%, draw 23%, Bahia 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.