Mirassol FC 2-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Feb 2026

📅12/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.57
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
18%
5.47
X/2
7%
6.36
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.53
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
39%
+8.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 34%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
2.14/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.08
+98% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +62%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.6 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
313 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
30.03.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
343 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Cruzeiro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 56% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 44%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.50 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro?

Mirassol FC 2-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 48%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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