Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
3-0
HT 3-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Bahia 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia edged past Vasco da Gama 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 27 Jun 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.
On the day, Bahia had 63% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 37%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.48 to 1.84.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bahia and 0.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?
Bahia 2-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bahia 53%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.