Botafogo SP 2-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Aug 2026

📅09/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.15/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.44
-46% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.9 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
2W-2D-2L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 1.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
218 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2026 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
03.08.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
06.04.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
10.08.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 2-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
20.04.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
16.01.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
2-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.27 xG 0.59
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
222 Passes 289
17 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP nicked a narrow win over America Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo SP as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?

Botafogo SP 2-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 51%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo SP), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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