Angola 3-1 Mauritius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.08
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
79%
-10.4pp
17%
Draw
15%
+1.5pp
14%
Away Win
5%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.8pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angola EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Mauritius EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.85
-63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +31%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
421 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angola
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mauritius
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Mauritius Mauritius 0-0 HT 0-0 Angola Angola DKE
10.07.2023 Angola Angola 0-1 HT 0-1 Mauritius Mauritius CAFCOS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angola
3-1
AWAY Mauritius
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angola vs Mauritius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angola got the better of Mauritius 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Angola as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angola had 68% of the ball to Mauritius's 32%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mauritius led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Angola and 0.50 for Mauritius.

What was the final score of Angola vs Mauritius?

Angola 3-1 Mauritius in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angola vs Mauritius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angola win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Angola 69%, draw 17%, Mauritius 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
9 Sep 2025
00:00 Namibya vs Sao Tome Ve Principe Analysis →
00:00 Norveç vs Moldova Analysis →
03:30 El Salvador vs Surinam Analysis →
04:30 Panama vs Guatemala Analysis →
16:00 Sierra Leone vs Etiyopya Analysis →
16:00 Zimbabve vs Ruanda Analysis →