Arnavutluk 1-0 Letonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.57
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
22.35
X/1
29%
3.46
X/2
4%
18.0
X/X
11%
5.73
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
4%
17.95
2/X
5%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.20/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/3.22
+21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.8
20.1 Crosses 6.6
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutluk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Letonya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
577 Passes 257
93% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
10.06.2025 Letonya Letonya 1-1 HT 1-1 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk
1-0
AWAY Letonya
1.69 xG 1.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
620 Passes 351
93% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk vs Letonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk edged past Letonya 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arnavutluk as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arnavutluk had 62% of the ball to Letonya's 38%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.69 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk vs Letonya?

Arnavutluk 1-0 Letonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk vs Letonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutluk win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk 69%, draw 20%, Letonya 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutluk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutluk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
9 Sep 2025
00:00 Namibya vs Sao Tome Ve Principe Analysis →
00:00 Norveç vs Moldova Analysis →
03:30 El Salvador vs Surinam Analysis →
04:30 Panama vs Guatemala Analysis →
16:00 Sierra Leone vs Etiyopya Analysis →
16:00 Zimbabve vs Ruanda Analysis →