Benin 4-0 Lesotho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

Benin
4-0 HT 3-0
Lesotho
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Benin vs Lesotho Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
5.32
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.1pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Benin v Lesotho — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benin EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lesotho EU Bookmakers 15%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.04/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.96
-41% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +145%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 0.0
– Crosses 8.0
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Benin vs Lesotho Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benin
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Lesotho
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Lesotho Lesotho 0-0 HT 0-0 Benin Benin DKE
17.11.2020 Lesotho Lesotho 0-0 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
14.11.2020 Benin Benin 1-0 HT 1-0 Lesotho Lesotho AFUK
POST-MATCH Benin vs Lesotho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benin ran out comfortable winners over Lesotho 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benin as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benin had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Benin and 0.00 for Lesotho.

What was the final score of Benin vs Lesotho?

Benin 4-0 Lesotho in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benin vs Lesotho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Benin 58%, draw 23%, Lesotho 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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