Gambiya 2-0 Burundi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
22.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gambiya EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Burundi EU Bookmakers 24%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gambiya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Burundi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
16.11.2023 Burundi Burundi 3-2 HT 2-1 Gambiya Gambiya DKE
POST-MATCH Gambiya vs Burundi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gambiya beat Burundi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gambiya as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Gambiya vs Burundi?

Gambiya 2-0 Burundi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gambiya vs Burundi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gambiya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gambiya 51%, draw 28%, Burundi 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gambiya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gambiya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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