Macaristan vs Portekiz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macaristan v Portekiz — Team-Based Signals
Macaristan vs Portekiz Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Portekiz
AVR
0-1
HT 0-0
Portekiz
DKE
3-0
HT 2-0
Macaristan
DKE
3-0
HT 1-0
Macaristan
DKE
0-1
HT 0-1
Portekiz
DKE
Macaristan 2-3 Portekiz — Actual Match Statistics
Portekiz nicked a narrow win over Macaristan 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Macaristan had 31% of the ball to Portekiz's 69%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.48 to 2.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portekiz's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portekiz led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Macaristan and 2.20 for Portekiz.
What was the final score of Macaristan vs Portekiz?
Macaristan 2-3 Portekiz in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macaristan vs Portekiz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Macaristan 19%, draw 20%, Portekiz 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.