Namibya 3-0 Sao Tome ve Principe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.23
No
55%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 23% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.4pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.0pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
27%
+18.5pp
55%
BTTS No
73%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Namibya EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 8%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.59
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
484 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Namibya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Sao Tome ve Principe Sao Tome ve Principe 0-2 HT 0-1 Namibya Namibya DKE
POST-MATCH Namibya vs Sao Tome ve Principe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Namibya swept aside Sao Tome ve Principe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Namibya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Namibya vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Namibya 3-0 Sao Tome ve Principe in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Namibya vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Namibya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Namibya 70%, draw 17%, Sao Tome ve Principe 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Namibya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Namibya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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