Togo 1-0 Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

Togo
1-0 HT 1-0
Sudan
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.36
Over 2.5
43%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
6.55
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.4pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Togo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sudan EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.01
-57% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Togo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sudan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Total Shots 9
14 Corners 7
16.11.2023 Sudan Sudan 1-1 HT 1-1 Togo Togo DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Togo
1-0
AWAY Sudan
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Togo vs Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Togo edged past Sudan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Togo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Togo had 54% of the ball to Sudan's 46%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Togo vs Sudan?

Togo 1-0 Sudan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Togo vs Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Togo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Togo 43%, draw 29%, Sudan 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Togo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Togo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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