Malta 0-4 Hollanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Oct 2025

📅09/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
12.23
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
83%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
4.0
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.73
2-3 Goals
35%
2.55
4-5 Goals
32%
2.28
6+ Goals
14%
3.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
35.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
30.5
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
2%
35.0
X/2
21%
4.19
X/X
6%
18.65
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
52%
1.07
2/X
3%
35.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 9% vs market 0.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
6%
Home Win
5%
+1.1pp
11%
Draw
8%
+3.7pp
83%
Away Win
88%
-4.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.4pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malta EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda EU Bookmakers 94%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.34/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.40
+8% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -63%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
6.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.7
8.1 Crosses 23.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hollanda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 8.00
0.16 xG 4.52
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
274 Passes 562
81% Pass Accuracy 92%
7 Box Touches 70
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.06.2025 Hollanda Hollanda 8-0 HT 3-0 Malta Malta DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malta
0-4
AWAY Hollanda
0.40 xG 3.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
235 Passes 464
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 60
8 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malta vs Hollanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda swept aside Malta 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Malta had 37% of the ball to Hollanda's 63%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.40 to 3.40.

What was the final score of Malta vs Hollanda?

Malta 0-4 Hollanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malta vs Hollanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Malta 6%, draw 11%, Hollanda 83%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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