Eastleigh 1-2 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 26% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.3
X/2
9%
7.55
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
16%
5.75
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.75/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town FAK
16.02.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 2-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
06.10.2018 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
14.02.2017 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-2 HT 0-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
09.08.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
05.03.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-2
AWAY Braintree Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past Eastleigh 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Braintree Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 53% of the ball to Braintree Town's 47%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastleigh and 1.17 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Braintree Town?

Eastleigh 1-2 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 40%, draw 28%, Braintree Town 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✗ Under 2.5
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