Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 25% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.0
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.7
X/1
9%
5.8
X/2
9%
5.09
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.35
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 1/X at 13.7 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.14/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.35
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
16.7 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
190 Passes 371
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
21.05.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
11.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-4 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
13.04.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
26.11.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.08.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
0-1
AWAY Austria Wien
1.08 xG 0.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
400 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 4
32 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Wolfsberger AC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 59% of the ball to Austria Wien's 41%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.08 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.00 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien?

Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 35%, draw 29%, Austria Wien 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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