Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Hartberg
AVU
1-2
HT 0-2
Sturm Graz
AVU
Hartberg 1-2 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz edged past Hartberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hartberg had 43% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hartberg and 1.83 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Hartberg 1-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 33%, draw 24%, Sturm Graz 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.