Sydney 2-0 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
9%
8.67
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.7
2/2
7%
5.95
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 15% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.72/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.82
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
20.4 Crosses 21.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Macarthur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.46
60% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
474 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
10.11.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
04.05.2024 Sydney Sydney 4-0 HT 1-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
09.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-2 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
24.12.2022 Sydney Sydney 0-3 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
2-0
AWAY Macarthur
1.51 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
460 Passes 319
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney saw off Macarthur 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney had 57% of the ball to Macarthur's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.51 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sydney and 1.33 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Macarthur?

Sydney 2-0 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sydney 53%, draw 24%, Macarthur 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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