Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.27
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.45
X/1
9%
5.76
X/2
12%
6.49
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
15%
3.94
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 1/X at 12.45 — our 11% vs market 5.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.48/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.82
-23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
19.5 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
429 Passes 409
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.02.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
07.01.2025 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
13.04.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
23.01.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3-1 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
14.01.2024 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
08.04.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 3-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar
3-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.48 xG 0.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
322 Passes 412
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar swept aside Newcastle Jets 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar had 45% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 55%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.48 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.83 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?

Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 38%, draw 28%, Newcastle Jets 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUS More Australia - A-League
9 Nov 2025
07:00 Sydney vs Macarthur Analysis →