Independiente Petrolero 1-2 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
48%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.0pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.8pp
48%
Away Win
39%
+8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 43%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.78/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.10
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +118%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
11.0 Crosses 13.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
196 Passes 198
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-3 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLPLK
22.06.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.08.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-3 HT 0-3 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.02.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi squeezed past Independiente Petrolero 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.67 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Independiente Petrolero 1-2 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 32%, draw 20%, Nacional Potosi 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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