Istra 1961 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.8
Away Pick
63%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.2
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.41
6+
5%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
1%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Istra 1961 The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb The Market 62%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.95 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.08
1.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.64 xG 1.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
243 Passes 511
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
05.04.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.01.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
19.10.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
02.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.04.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
2 - 1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.87 xG 2.56
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 32
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 21
210 Passes 457
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 47
9 Crosses 49
6 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Istra 1961 nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Zagreb 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dinamo Zagreb at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 50%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 35% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 65%, shots finished 6-32, expected goals 1.87 to 2.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dinamo Zagreb.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Istra 1961 and 2.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Final Score

Istra 1961 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 15%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5
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