Istra 1961 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.90/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.78
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
10.8 Crosses 19.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.38 xG 1.27
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
242 Passes 497
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
19.10.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
02.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.04.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.01.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.50 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
272 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 cruised past Dinamo Zagreb 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 46% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 54%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.50 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Istra 1961 and 3.00 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Istra 1961 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 28%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
5 Apr 2025
17:00 Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split Analysis →