Slaven Belupo 0-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.25
6+ Goals
6%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 38% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
0.90/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.25
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.4 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
249 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
20.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-2 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
04.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 2-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
20.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
11.02.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
27.10.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
0-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.49 xG 1.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
424 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split squeezed past Slaven Belupo 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 62% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 38%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.49 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.67 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split?

Slaven Belupo 0-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 27%, draw 25%, Hajduk Split 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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