Hajduk Split 0-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 27% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.46/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.3 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.50 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-2 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
04.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 2-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
20.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
11.02.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
27.10.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
13.08.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
0-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.71 xG 0.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
322 Passes 228
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split and Slaven Belupo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 58% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 42%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.71 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.17 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?

Hajduk Split 0-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 53%, draw 27%, Slaven Belupo 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hajduk Split) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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