Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rijeka v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Rijeka
HIR
Rijeka 4-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Rijeka swept aside Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rijeka had 46% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.19 to 0.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rijeka and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What was the final score of Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Rijeka 4-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 52%, draw 25%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.