Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Once Caldas v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas edged past Deportivo Pasto 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.92, roughly 52%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Once Caldas's favour, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.86 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Once Caldas against 0.83 for Deportivo Pasto.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Result & Final Score
Once Caldas 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 62%, draw 23%, Deportivo Pasto 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.