Avellino 2-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.8
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
11%
6.39
X/2
18%
5.31
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.35/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.22
-32% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
24.5 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-1
AWAY Sampdoria
0.79 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
314 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino squeezed past Sampdoria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Avellino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avellino had 49% of the ball to Sampdoria's 51%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.79 to 1.74 — on chances, Sampdoria could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Sampdoria?

Avellino 2-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avellino 32%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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