Virtus Entella 1-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Jan 2026

Virtus Entella
1-0 HT 0-0
Monza
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Virtus Entella vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.26
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.05
X/1
7%
7.57
X/2
21%
4.54
X/X
16%
4.03
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.84
2/X
4%
13.95
Value flag · 1/X at 15.05 — our 9% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Entella v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.31/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.42
+24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.1 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Virtus Entella vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Monza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.73 xG 2.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
320 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.04.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
15.12.2020 Monza Monza 5-0 HT 2-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB

Virtus Entella 1-0 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-0
AWAY Monza
1.38 xG 1.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
219 Passes 381
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella edged past Monza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Monza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 39% of the ball to Monza's 61%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.38 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monza led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Virtus Entella and 3.00 for Monza.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Monza?

Virtus Entella 1-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 29%, draw 29%, Monza 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monza), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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