Reggiana 1-3 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Jan 2026

Reggiana
1-3 HT 1-2
Venezia
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Reggiana vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 34% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.68
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
9%
18.5
X/1
6%
11.25
X/2 EV+ ✗
31%
3.95
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
20%
1.99
2/X
6%
16.35
Value flag · X/2 at 3.95 — our 31% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
18%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reggiana v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.95/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.60
+9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
212 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
17.1 Crosses 33.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Reggiana vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Venezia
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.96 xG 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
324 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Venezia Venezia 2-3 HT 2-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
22.10.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.03.2021 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 1-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
08.11.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB

Reggiana 1-3 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-3
AWAY Venezia
1.61 xG 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
219 Passes 439
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia saw off Reggiana 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 37% of the ball to Venezia's 63%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.61 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Reggiana and 1.25 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Venezia?

Reggiana 1-3 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 16%, draw 24%, Venezia 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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