Frosinone 2-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.78
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.07
X/2
7%
7.65
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
5.32
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.61/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.36
+12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.8 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.17 xG 0.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
03.11.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-0
AWAY Catanzaro
1.39 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
335 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone saw off Catanzaro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 54% of the ball to Catanzaro's 46%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.39 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Frosinone and 0.50 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Catanzaro?

Frosinone 2-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 51%, draw 24%, Catanzaro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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