Carrarese 1-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 35% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.87
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
16%
4.84
X/2
7%
7.77
X/X
11%
4.03
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
6.07
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.50/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
+12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.9 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
254 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
29.10.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
17.07.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
2.09 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
277 Passes 367
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese squeezed past FC Bari 1908 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Carrarese had 46% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 54%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.09 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrarese and 1.00 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs FC Bari 1908?

Carrarese 1-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 48%, draw 25%, FC Bari 1908 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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