Südtirol vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Südtirol v Spezia — Team-Based Signals
Südtirol vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Spezia
İTB
Südtirol 2-1 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics
Südtirol squeezed past Spezia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Südtirol had 38% of the ball to Spezia's 62%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Spezia.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Südtirol and 2.25 for Spezia.
What was the final score of Südtirol vs Spezia?
Südtirol 2-1 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Spezia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 42%, draw 27%, Spezia 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.