Perth Glory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.23
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.27
X/2
10%
9.42
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.1
2/2
11%
7.49
2/X
7%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.52/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.66
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.0 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
13.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-3 HT 2-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUK
30.03.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-1 HT 2-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
07.02.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
02.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 3-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
3-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
2.65 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 5
455 Passes 363
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory ran out comfortable winners over Central Coast Mariners 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perth Glory as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Perth Glory had 54% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 46%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.65 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perth Glory and 1.83 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Perth Glory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 52%, draw 22%, Central Coast Mariners 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth Glory), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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