Macarthur 0-3 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.16
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.27
1/2
7%
23.55
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.59
X/2
12%
5.41
X/X
8%
5.37
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
26%
3.15
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.62/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.54
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
22.9 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sydney
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
272 Passes 474
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Sydney Sydney 2-0 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
01.03.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
10.11.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
04.05.2024 Sydney Sydney 4-0 HT 1-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
09.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-2 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
0-3
AWAY Sydney
0.98 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
346 Passes 441
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney cruised past Macarthur 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Macarthur had 45% of the ball to Sydney's 55%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Macarthur and 1.50 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Sydney?

Macarthur 0-3 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 34%, draw 22%, Sydney 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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