Twente 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
17%
5.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.63
6+ Goals
16%
6.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.35 — our 17% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.52
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
29%
4.0
X/2
3%
18.3
X/X
5%
8.3
2/1
9%
20.65
2/2
3%
14.8
2/X
5%
22.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Twente win — 76%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
72%
+4.1pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.1pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
2.23/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.43
-9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
23.6 Crosses 10.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.90 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
361 Passes 260
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
13.04.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
14.09.2024 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.05.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
20.08.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.03.2022 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.03 xG 0.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
498 Passes 238
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
50 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Twente vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente and PEC Zwolle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Twente carried 76% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 64% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 36%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 2.03 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Twente and 0.83 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

Twente 1-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Twente 76%, draw 15%, PEC Zwolle 9%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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