Groningen vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Groningen v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals
Groningen vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Groningen
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
Groningen 0-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen and NAC Breda played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Groningen had 55% of the ball to NAC Breda's 45%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.83 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Groningen and 1.17 for NAC Breda.
What was the final score of Groningen vs NAC Breda?
Groningen 0-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Groningen vs NAC Breda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Groningen 54%, draw 23%, NAC Breda 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Groningen), BTTS Yes went the other way.