Tottenham 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.46
2-3 Goals
39%
2.23
4-5 Goals
25%
2.39
6+ Goals
17%
4.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.14
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.61
X/2
13%
9.15
X/X
9%
7.03
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
18.05
2/2
11%
5.41
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.05 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.60
+16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.4 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
389 Passes 467
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
08.04.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.10.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
16.04.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 0-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
16.03.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
05.02.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
2-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.65 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
447 Passes 394
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham edged past Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 52% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 48%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.65 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tottenham and 1.17 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Tottenham 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 50%, draw 22%, Brighton & Hove Albion 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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