Carrick Rangers 2-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Feb 2026

📅10/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
14%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.28
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
7%
9.03
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
9%
7.2
2/X
8%
16.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.19/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.85
-33% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Glenavon FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
18.10.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
16.08.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.04.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-4 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
25.01.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
10.08.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers edged past Glenavon FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Carrick Rangers 2-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 57%, draw 22%, Glenavon FC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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