10/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Cenaia vs Gavorrano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No Pick
52%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
34%
21%
Draw
27%
41%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cenaia v Gavorrano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cenaia
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gavorrano
The Market 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+49% /
+49%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+92%
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
331 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Cenaia vs Gavorrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gavorrano cruised past Cenaia 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Gavorrano found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Cenaia vs Gavorrano?
Cenaia 0-3 Gavorrano in the Italy - Serie D on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cenaia vs Gavorrano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gavorrano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cenaia 38%, draw 21%, Gavorrano 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gavorrano), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Gavorrano)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
10 Mar 2024