Linfield FC 3-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.29
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
5%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.47
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
3%
23.1
X/1
29%
3.57
X/2
2%
19.8
X/X
7%
7.11
2/1
12%
24.35
2/2
2%
18.6
2/X
4%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
73%
+7.7pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.3pp
5%
Away Win
10%
-4.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.65/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.27
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
06.09.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
18.01.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
30.11.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
30.08.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.03.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC saw off Portadown FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Linfield FC and 1.17 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Portadown FC?

Linfield FC 3-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 81%, draw 14%, Portadown FC 5%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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