Crusaders FC 0-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
61%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.79
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.55
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
5%
9.15
X/2
21%
4.29
X/X
6%
5.84
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.15
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.55 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.1pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.4pp
61%
Away Win
55%
+6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 59%
-18% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.96/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.37
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
21.02.2026 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-2 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
26.12.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
01.03.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
26.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville squeezed past Crusaders FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.67 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Crusaders FC 0-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 21%, draw 17%, Cliftonville 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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