Dundalk 2-2 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 10 Apr 2026

Dundalk
2 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Derry City
📅10/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2026

Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.68
2-3
48%
1.7
4-5
19%
3.86
6+
4%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.55
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.26
X/2
13%
5.91
X/X
19%
4.16
2/1
3%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.25
2/X
5%
13.3
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Dundalk v Derry City — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Dundalk The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
1.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Average Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Dundalk vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Derry City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
238 Passes 311
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.02.2026 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
18.10.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
09.08.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
31.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
05.04.2024 Derry City Derry City 4-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.09.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-3 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL

Dundalk 2-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2 - 2
AWAY Derry City
2.48 xG 0.97
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
363 Passes 151
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
35 Box Touches 11
37 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 8
REVIEW Dundalk vs Derry City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dundalk and Derry City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Dundalk had 67% of the ball to Derry City's 33%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.48 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 2.00 for Derry City.

Dundalk vs Derry City Result & Final Score

Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 38%, draw 30%, Derry City 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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