Sporting Charleroi 2-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
11%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.45
X/2
9%
8.49
X/X
9%
4.72
2/1
8%
23.95
2/2
13%
6.57
2/X
4%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.64/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.52
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.5 Crosses 14.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 419
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
17.08.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
29.05.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
08.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.07.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
21.01.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.98 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
250 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi edged past Royal Antwerp 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 45% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 55%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp?

Sporting Charleroi 2-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 47%, draw 24%, Royal Antwerp 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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