SJK Seinajoki 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.19
X/2
5%
10.1
X/X
8%
5.44
2/1
8%
21.8
2/2
12%
7.94
2/X
5%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.66/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.60
-7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
26.2 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
5W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.86 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
465 Passes 253
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 4-1 HT 3-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
19.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
21.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-4 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
31.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.08.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
11.06.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.56 xG 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
420 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki swept aside IFK Mariehamn 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 51% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 49%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.56 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn?

SJK Seinajoki 3-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 56%, draw 22%, IFK Mariehamn 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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