TPS Turku 2-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.57
1/2
6%
24.8
1/X
12%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.6
X/2
16%
5.1
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.07
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.82/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.58
+48% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +89%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
Crosses 9.4
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.01.2026 FC Lahti FC Lahti 5-1 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FLK
18.10.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-3 HT 3-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
14.07.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-2 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
21.05.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
29.03.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
23.10.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
2-1
AWAY FC Lahti
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
225 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku nicked a narrow win over FC Lahti 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; TPS Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 41% of the ball to FC Lahti's 59%, shots finished 14-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for TPS Turku and 2.67 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs FC Lahti?

TPS Turku 2-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 32%, draw 27%, FC Lahti 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Lahti), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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