St. Gallen vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Gallen v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals
St. Gallen vs Winterthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-1
Winterthur
İSV
St. Gallen 1-4 Winterthur — Actual Match Statistics
Winterthur swept aside St. Gallen 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, St. Gallen had 64% of the ball to Winterthur's 36%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.96 to 3.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Gallen and 2.00 for Winterthur.
What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Winterthur?
St. Gallen 1-4 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Winterthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 46%, draw 28%, Winterthur 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Gallen) went the other way.