Birkirkara 0-1 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.2pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.02/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.18
+16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
01.02.2025 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MALTP
23.11.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
19.10.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.04.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
30.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 1-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
0-1
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans edged past Birkirkara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Birkirkara had 43% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 57%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birkirkara and 1.50 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Birkirkara 0-1 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 28%, draw 30%, Hamrun Spartans 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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