Gil Vicente vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gil Vicente v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Gil Vicente vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Arouca
POR
1-4
HT 1-2
Arouca
POK
1-0
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente and Arouca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Gil Vicente had 54% of the ball to Arouca's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gil Vicente and 2.00 for Arouca.
What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Arouca?
Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 40%, draw 28%, Arouca 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente), BTTS No went the other way.