Benfica vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
Benfica 1-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica and Sporting CP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Benfica had 60% of the ball to Sporting CP's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Benfica and 1.50 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Sporting CP?
Benfica 1-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Benfica 43%, draw 28%, Sporting CP 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica) went the other way.