Santa Clara vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Santa Clara
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Famalicao
POR
Santa Clara 2-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara squeezed past Famalicao 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Santa Clara had 47% of the ball to Famalicao's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.05 to 1.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Clara and 1.17 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
Santa Clara 2-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 46%, draw 27%, Famalicao 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.