West Ham United vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
West Ham United
İNP
3-1
HT 1-0
Arsenal
İNLK
West Ham United 0-1 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal edged past West Ham United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, West Ham United had 36% of the ball to Arsenal's 64%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.32 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Ham United and 2.33 for Arsenal.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Arsenal?
West Ham United 0-1 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Arsenal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 18%, draw 22%, Arsenal 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.