Lugano 1-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 May 2026

Lugano
1 - 2 HT 0 - 0
St. Gallen
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Lugano vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over Pick
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.48
No
38%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.45
2-3
43%
1.87
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
10%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.02
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.4
X/2
11%
6.67
X/X
14%
5.43
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
18%
4.18
2/X
5%
12.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Lugano v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lugano The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Lugano vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
0W-3D-3L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
412 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2026 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
26.11.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
13.09.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.04.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
05.02.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.09.2024 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV

Lugano 1-2 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1 - 2
AWAY St. Gallen
2.44 xG 2.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
310 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 7
REVIEW Lugano vs St. Gallen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

St. Gallen shaded a tight game against Lugano 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) landed.

On the day, Lugano had 58% of the ball to St. Gallen's 42%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.44 to 2.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lugano and 1.50 for St. Gallen.

Lugano vs St. Gallen Result & Final Score

Lugano 1 - 2 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lugano vs St. Gallen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugano 43%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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